Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 49.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
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