Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torreense win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Academica de Coimbra had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torreense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Academica de Coimbra win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torreense would win this match.
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