Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torreense win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for CF Os Belenenses had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torreense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest CF Os Belenenses win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torreense would win this match.