SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
35.36% ( 0.6) | 24.21% ( 0.11) | 40.43% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 60.47% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.93% ( -0.41) | 42.07% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.52% ( -0.42) | 64.48% ( 0.42) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( 0.14) | 23.51% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% ( 0.2) | 57.55% ( -0.2) |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( -0.5) | 20.94% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.31% ( -0.79) | 53.68% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 35.36% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.76% Total : 40.43% |
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