Having scored in each of their last five matches, Almeria may fancy their chances of breaching Barcelona's backline in Thursday's contest.
However, even if the hosts get on the scoresheet, we still expect the visitors to create enough opportunities to claim a routine win over the league's basement side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 24.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
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