SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Emmen |
53.3% ( 0.05) | 21.78% ( -0) | 24.92% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.62% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.58% ( -0.03) | 36.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.44% ( -0.03) | 58.56% ( 0.04) |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.19% ( 0.01) | 13.81% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.84% ( 0.01) | 41.16% ( -0.01) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% ( -0.05) | 27.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.2% ( -0.07) | 62.8% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.33% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 53.3% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.78% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 24.92% |
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