Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Wehen Wiesbaden win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
-0.5) 
0.16) 
