SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Emmen |
41.08% ( -0.2) | 24.28% ( -0.29) | 34.64% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.05% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.45% ( 1.46) | 42.55% ( -1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( 1.44) | 64.95% ( -1.44) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.15% ( 0.54) | 20.85% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.47% ( 0.83) | 53.53% ( -0.83) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( 0.97) | 24.13% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% ( 1.35) | 58.43% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.39)2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 41.08% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.64% |
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