Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.93%).
-0.01) 
0.02) 
