Considering their seven-game unbeaten record under their new manager, Emmen should be confident of recording a win in front of their own supporters to reach the playoff final.
NAC Breda are also in a rich vein of form and upset the odds emphatically during the last round, but we feel that the visitors will narrowly lose out on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
