Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wehen Wiesbaden win with a probability of 50.45%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wehen Wiesbaden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wehen Wiesbaden would win this match.
