SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 65.14%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
65.14% ( 0.55) | 18.8% ( -0.09) | 16.06% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.82% ( -0.45) | 35.18% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.81% ( -0.51) | 57.19% ( 0.51) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.85% ( 0) | 10.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.63% ( 0.01) | 33.37% ( -0.01) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( -0.81) | 34.97% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% ( -0.86) | 71.72% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.22)1-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.17% Total : 65.14% | 1-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.8% | 1-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 3.73% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.53% Total : 16.06% |
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