Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Carlisle United
39.11% ( 0.02)	26.09% ( 0)	34.8% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.76% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.3% (

-0.01)

50.7% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.4% (

-0.01)

72.6% (

0.01)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57% (

25.43% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75% (

0.01)

60.25% (

-0)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1% (

-0.02)

27.9% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.48% (

-0.02)

63.52% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 39.11%

Carlisle United 34.8%

Draw 26.09%

Rochdale	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 39.11%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.8%