Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
