Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 86.75%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Brixen had a probability of 3.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.71%) and 4-0 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.54%), while for a Brixen win it was 0-1 (1.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bologna in this match.
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