As Napoli rarely make the most of their ponderous possession, and Bologna have a reputation for being tough to beat either home or away, a low-scoring draw should be expected at Stadio Maradona this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
-0.04) 
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