SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
42.76% ( -0.09) | 24.26% ( 0) | 32.98% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.6% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( 0.01) | 42.92% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( 0.01) | 65.32% ( -0.01) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -0.04) | 20.24% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.42% ( -0.06) | 52.57% ( 0.06) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( 0.05) | 25.27% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% ( 0.08) | 60.03% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 42.76% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 32.98% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
