SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
54.53% ( -1.36) | 21.46% ( 0.39) | 24% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 62.7% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.15% ( -0.78) | 35.85% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.07% ( -0.86) | 57.93% ( 0.87) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.76% ( -0.66) | 13.24% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60% ( -1.36) | 40% ( 1.36) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( 0.34) | 27.73% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.7% ( 0.43) | 63.3% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.97% Total : 54.53% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.63% Total : 24% |
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