Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Chorley win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
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