SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barry Town United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Newport County |
45.78% ( 0.04) | 24.39% ( 0.01) | 29.83% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.63% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.15% ( -0.05) | 44.85% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.8% ( -0.05) | 67.21% ( 0.05) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( -0) | 19.71% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.28% ( -0) | 51.73% ( 0) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( -0.06) | 28.22% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% ( -0.07) | 63.92% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Newport County |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 3.03% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.38% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.83% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
