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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Newport County |
42.09% ( 3.66) | 24.54% ( 0.64) | 33.36% ( -4.3) |
| Both teams to score 58.76% ( -3.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.91% ( -3.76) | 44.08% ( 3.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.53% ( -3.76) | 66.46% ( 3.76) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( 0.11) | 21.02% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.18% ( 0.18) | 53.81% ( -0.18) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -4.07) | 25.59% ( 4.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.53% ( -5.9) | 60.47% ( 5.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 1.32)2-0 @ 6.54% ( 1.05)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.56)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.09% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.41)0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.83)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.28)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.53% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.55) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 5% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.73)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.56)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.48)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.44)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.36% |
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