SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Red Star had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Red Star win it was 0-1 (5.79%).
| Result | ||
| Caen | Draw | Red Star |
56.58% ( 0.18) | 22.64% ( -0.03) | 20.78% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.1% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.84% ( -0.04) | 45.16% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.49% ( -0.04) | 67.5% ( 0.04) |
| Caen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.25% ( 0.05) | 15.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.13% ( 0.08) | 44.86% ( -0.09) |
| Red Star Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% ( -0.16) | 35.79% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.44% ( -0.17) | 72.56% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Caen | Draw | Red Star |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 56.57% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 20.78% |
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