Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.12) 
