SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | MK Dons |
29.73% ( -0.13) | 23.81% ( 0.06) | 46.46% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.58% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.73% ( -0.37) | 42.26% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.33% ( -0.37) | 64.67% ( 0.37) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.27) | 26.98% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.67% ( -0.36) | 62.33% ( 0.36) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( -0.12) | 18.4% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.44% ( -0.2) | 49.56% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.73% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 46.46% |
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