Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
-0.13) 
0.06) 
