SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Mansfield Town |
44.48% ( 0.2) | 22.88% ( -0.08) | 32.64% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 64.57% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.64% ( 0.34) | 36.36% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.5% ( 0.37) | 58.49% ( -0.37) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.13% ( 0.21) | 16.86% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.12% ( 0.38) | 46.88% ( -0.38) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( 0.1) | 22.33% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.19% ( 0.15) | 55.81% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.33% Total : 44.48% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 32.64% |
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