Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
-0.2) 
0.31) 
