SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Southend United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Southend United |
21.1% ( 0.35) | 24.01% ( -0.15) | 54.88% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( 0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.48% ( 1) | 50.51% ( -1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.56% ( 0.87) | 72.43% ( -0.88) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% ( 0.93) | 38.5% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.74% ( 0.88) | 75.25% ( -0.88) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( 0.3) | 18.29% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.64% ( 0.5) | 49.35% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.1% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.92% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 10.16% ( -0.21)1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.33% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.3% Total : 54.88% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
