Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
