Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 1-0 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Angers would win this match.