Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Bastia win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.01) 
