Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Guingamp had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Guingamp win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.
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