Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Crewe United had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Crewe United win it was 1-0 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
