Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
