SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Ballymena United |
62.49% ( 0.01) | 20.18% ( 0) | 17.32% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.62% ( -0.04) | 39.37% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.28% ( -0.04) | 61.71% ( 0.04) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.93% ( -0.01) | 12.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.42% ( -0.02) | 37.57% ( 0.02) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( -0.04) | 36.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.13% ( -0.04) | 72.86% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.86% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.88% Total : 62.49% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.18% | 1-2 @ 4.78% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 17.32% |
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