SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
28.59% ( 0.59) | 23.01% ( -0.05) | 48.4% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 61.66% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.82% ( 0.65) | 39.18% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.49% ( 0.68) | 61.51% ( -0.68) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% ( 0.74) | 26.18% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.73% ( 0.98) | 61.27% ( -0.97) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( 0.05) | 16.47% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.83% ( 0.08) | 46.17% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.59% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 5.65% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.47% Total : 48.4% |
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