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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 3
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
1 - 0
Glenavon

McCurry (8')
McMurray (88'), Gawne (88')
Whiteside (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Malone (86')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Ballymena
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 3-1 Glenavon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
28.59% (0.593 0.59) 23.01% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 48.4% (-0.544 -0.54)
Both teams to score 61.66% (0.648 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.82% (0.652 0.65)39.18% (-0.652 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.49% (0.68 0.68)61.51% (-0.67899999999999 -0.68)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (0.73699999999999 0.74)26.18% (-0.736 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (0.976 0.98)61.27% (-0.974 -0.97)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.53% (0.045000000000002 0.05)16.47% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.83% (0.082999999999998 0.08)46.17% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 28.59%
    Glenavon 48.4%
    Draw 23%
Ballymena UnitedDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 6.98% (0.089 0.09)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.87% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.59%
1-1 @ 10.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-2 @ 7.02% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-3 @ 5.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.79% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.9% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.71% (0.03 0.03)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 48.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Carrick 2-1 Ballymena
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 2-3 Ballymena
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 4-0 Ballymena
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Carrick
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 2-4 Crusaders
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Ballymena
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 3-1 Glenavon
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 3-2 Newry City AFC
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-2 Loughgall
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 6-1 Glenavon
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 4-0 Dungannon
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-0 Glentoran
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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