SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Newry City AFC |
56.94% ( 0.04) | 22.31% ( -0.01) | 20.75% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.24% ( 0.01) | 43.76% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.85% ( 0.01) | 66.15% ( -0.01) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.85% ( 0.02) | 15.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.25% ( 0.03) | 43.74% ( -0.03) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% ( -0.03) | 35.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.24% ( -0.03) | 71.76% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 56.93% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 20.75% |
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