NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds
Stewart (21', 45+1'), McCurry (52'), McCullough (79' pen.)
Brown (61'),
Barr (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Newry City AFC.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
| Result |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Newry City AFC |
56.94% ( 0.04) | 22.31% ( -0.01) | 20.75% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( -0.01) |
| 56.24% ( 0.01) | 43.76% ( -0.01) |
| 33.85% ( 0.01) | 66.15% ( -0.01) |
| 84.85% ( 0.02) | 15.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.25% ( 0.03) | 43.74% ( -0.03) |
| 64.98% ( -0.03) | 35.01% ( 0.02) |
