SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 73.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 10.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-3 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 2-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Southampton |
10.96% ( 0.14) | 15.93% ( 0.09) | 73.12% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 54.01% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.33% ( -0.04) | 33.67% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.51% ( -0.04) | 55.49% ( 0.04) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.67% ( 0.22) | 41.33% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.15% ( 0.19) | 77.85% ( -0.19) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.05% ( -0.06) | 7.95% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.93% ( -0.15) | 28.07% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Southampton |
| 2-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.36% Total : 10.96% | 1-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.93% | 0-2 @ 10.53% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 8.89% ( -0.06)0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.86% ( -0)0-4 @ 5.63% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)0-6 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)2-5 @ 1.11% 1-6 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 73.12% |
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