SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
54.82% ( -0.18) | 22.32% ( 0.02) | 22.85% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.13% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.79% ( 0.06) | 41.21% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.39% ( 0.06) | 63.6% ( -0.06) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.03% ( -0.04) | 14.97% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.6% ( -0.07) | 43.4% ( 0.07) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.36% ( 0.16) | 31.63% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.95% ( 0.19) | 68.04% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 54.82% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 22.85% |
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