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LL
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
SL
Southampton logo

Leeds
1 - 2
Southampton

Piroe (21')
Gnonto (33'), Firpo (72'), Gruev (80'), Piroe (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Armstrong (18'), Smallbone (35')
Manning (33'), Bednarek (44'), Gruev (86'), Rothwell (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 4-0 Leeds
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Southampton

Regardless of whether automatic promotion is achievable or not, Leeds need to treat this fixture as a normal game in a bid to rediscover some form. Southampton have been poor themselves, yet we feel the Saints will do enough to earn a share of the spoils in an entertaining encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 59.64%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 20.38% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
59.64% (0.912 0.91) 19.98% (0.101 0.1) 20.38% (-1.012 -1.01)
Both teams to score 62.9% (-2.088 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.69% (-1.981 -1.98)33.31% (1.983 1.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.92% (-2.303 -2.3)55.08% (2.303 2.3)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.01% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)10.99% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.74% (-0.824 -0.82)35.26% (0.826 0.83)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-2.044 -2.04)29.33% (2.046 2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69% (-2.581 -2.58)65.31% (2.583 2.58)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 59.64%
    Southampton 20.38%
    Draw 19.98%
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.574 0.57)
1-0 @ 7.12% (0.621 0.62)
3-1 @ 7.1% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.79% (0.339 0.34)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.242 -0.24)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.141 0.14)
4-2 @ 2.4% (-0.173 -0.17)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 59.64%
1-1 @ 8.73% (0.291 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.234 -0.23)
0-0 @ 3.22% (0.326 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 19.98%
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-1 @ 3.95% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.244 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 20.38%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: QPR 4-0 Leeds
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-4 Leeds
Monday, April 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Blackburn
Saturday, April 13 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, April 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 5-0 Southampton
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Preston
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Watford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 2-1 Coventry
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship


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