SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Maidenhead United |
33.13% ( -0.16) | 23.95% ( -0.08) | 42.92% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 60.79% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.61% ( 0.34) | 41.39% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.21% ( 0.34) | 63.79% ( -0.35) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.55% ( 0.07) | 24.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.11% ( 0.1) | 58.88% ( -0.1) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( 0.25) | 19.53% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.57% ( 0.4) | 51.43% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.13% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 42.92% |
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