Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 20.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Southampton |
57.85% ( 0.04) | 21.76% ( -0.02) | 20.39% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.43% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.23% ( 0.05) | 41.77% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.83% ( 0.05) | 64.17% ( -0.06) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.81% ( 0.03) | 14.19% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.1% ( 0.06) | 41.89% ( -0.06) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.76% ( 0.01) | 34.23% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.07% ( 0.01) | 70.93% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 57.85% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.75% | 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 20.39% |
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