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Championship
May 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wembley Stadium
SL

Leeds
0 - 1
Southampton


Summerville (43'), Ampadu (90+12')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armstrong (24')
Bednarek (39'), Fraser (45'), Harwood-Bellis (51'), Adams (79'), Downes (85'), Aribo (90+12')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Norwich
Thursday, May 16 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 West Brom
Friday, May 17 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 57.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
57.85% (0.041999999999994 0.04) 21.76% (-0.02 -0.02) 20.39% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23% (0.053999999999995 0.05)41.77% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83% (0.055 0.05)64.17% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.81% (0.031000000000006 0.03)14.19% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.1% (0.062000000000005 0.06)41.89% (-0.064 -0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)70.93% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 57.85%
    Southampton 20.39%
    Draw 21.75%
Leeds UnitedDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.03% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 57.85%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 5.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 20.39%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Norwich
Thursday, May 16 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Leeds
Sunday, May 12 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, May 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 4-0 Leeds
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-4 Leeds
Monday, April 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-1 Blackburn
Saturday, April 13 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 West Brom
Friday, May 17 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Southampton
Sunday, May 12 at 2.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, May 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 5-0 Southampton
Tuesday, April 23 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Southampton
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship


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