Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Osasuna II had a probability of 12.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Osasuna II win it was 0-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.