Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Barakaldo had a probability of 9.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Barakaldo win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.