Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.
0.01) 
-0.09) 
