Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Trier win with a probability of 75.39%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 9.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Trier win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (2.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eintracht Trier would win this match.
