SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.39%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
54.39% ( 4.96) | 22.09% ( -1.28) | 23.53% ( -3.68) |
| Both teams to score 59.84% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.65% ( 2.52) | 39.34% ( -2.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.32% ( 2.59) | 61.68% ( -2.58) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% ( 2.63) | 14.47% ( -2.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.56% ( 4.86) | 42.44% ( -4.85) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% ( -1.5) | 30.04% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.84% ( -1.85) | 66.16% ( 1.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.68)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.75)3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.56)4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.55)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.27)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.3)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.28)Other @ 3.23% Total : 54.39% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.7) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.53)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.7) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.89)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.69)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.4)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.34)Other @ 3.03% Total : 23.53% |
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