Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 31.17% and a draw has a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.98%).
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
46.11% ( 1.75) | 22.72% ( -0.1) | 31.17% ( -1.64) |
Both teams to score 64.44% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.77% ( -0.24) | 36.23% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.65% ( -0.26) | 58.35% ( 0.26) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.81% ( 0.57) | 16.19% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.33% ( 1.03) | 45.67% ( -1.02) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.89% ( -1.04) | 23.11% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.04% ( -1.55) | 56.96% ( 1.55) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.72% Total : 46.11% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.09% Total : 31.17% |
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