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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
DL

Mainz
vs.
Dortmund

 
Coverage of the Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, April 28 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Heidenheim vs. Mainz
Sunday, May 5 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-1 Dortmund
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Dortmund vs. PSG
Wednesday, May 1 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 31.17% and a draw has a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.98%).

Result
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Dortmund
46.11% (1.745 1.75) 22.72% (-0.101 -0.1) 31.17% (-1.639 -1.64)
Both teams to score 64.44% (-0.429 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.77% (-0.23500000000001 -0.24)36.23% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.65% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)58.35% (0.263 0.26)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (0.572 0.57)16.19% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.33% (1.026 1.03)45.67% (-1.019 -1.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (-1.041 -1.04)23.11% (1.044 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04% (-1.55 -1.55)56.96% (1.554 1.55)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 46.11%
    Borussia Dortmund 31.17%
    Draw 22.72%
Mainz 05DrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.17 0.17)
1-0 @ 6.81% (0.208 0.21)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.303 0.3)
3-1 @ 5.51% (0.206 0.21)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.76% (0.252 0.25)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.14 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.145 0.15)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 46.11%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.97% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.02% (-0.208 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 31.17%

Form Guide
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, April 28 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, April 21 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 4-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 4-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Mainz
Saturday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-1 Dortmund
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, April 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Atletico
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 0-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


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