Although both teams will enter this contest with plenty of confidence, superior quality should begin to show through now that players are getting more miles in the legs. With that in mind, we expect a strong performance from Forest, who should have enough firepower to prevail in Spain.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elche in this match.
0.26) 
-0.26) 
