Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.

Result
FC Ingolstadt 04	Draw	Hamburger SV
23.19%	22.39%	54.42%

Both teams to score 58.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.85%

41.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.46%

63.54%

FC Ingolstadt 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69%

31.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.33%

67.67%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.92%

15.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.39%

43.61%

Score Analysis

FC Ingolstadt 04 23.19%

Hamburger SV 54.42%

Draw 22.39%

FC Ingolstadt 04	Draw	Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 6.02% 1-0 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 3.18% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 2.21% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.73% Total : 23.19%	1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 5.7% 0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.39%	1-2 @ 9.81% 0-1 @ 8.93% 0-2 @ 8.45% 1-3 @ 6.19% 0-3 @ 5.33% 2-3 @ 3.59% 1-4 @ 2.93% 0-4 @ 2.52% 2-4 @ 1.7% 1-5 @ 1.11% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.91% Total : 54.42%