Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 69.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Brentford 2 had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Brentford 2 win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
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